In this space last week, I wrote about what Baseball Prospectus’ projection system PECOTA thinks would happen to the Toronto Blue Jays in 2017 if their players would hit their 90th percentile projections. That best case scenario looked like a 119-43 record, compared to the 81-81 record the normal PECOTA projected for the 2017 Blue Jays. Today, I […]
Tag: PECOTA
The 90th Percentile Blue Jays
Baseball Prospectus released their PECOTA projections for the 2017 season earlier this month, and in the aggregate, they weren’t so kind to the Toronto Blue Jays, projecting an 81-81 record for a team that has made it to the ALCS in two straight seasons. Mike Passador already broke down the individual projections in this same […]
What does PECOTA have to say about the Blue Jays?
With spring training just around the corner and the bullpen finally taking form we’re starting to get a real sense of how the 2017 Toronto Blue Jays will look come Opening Day. Part of the fun of the offseason’s final days is looking through the myriad projections that find their way onto our screens and […]
Intro to BP Stats Using Blue Jays Players: True Average (TAv)
This Toronto Blue Jays based site for Baseball Propsectus is still in its infancy. While the articles here have shown a distinct professionalism and belonging, we’re still a rookie in the BP Family. We’re a bit like Trevor Story; showing that we belong here in a small sample, but really striving for sustained excellence and […]
How the Jays Position Players Compare to the AL East
There is no doubt that the 2016 Toronto Blue Jays are a better team than they were at the start of last season. Despite winning the AL East by six games with a record of 93-69 and leading the majors in runs scored, it wasn’t until the second half of the season after the Jays […]
How to Beat PECOTA With the Blue Jays
This season, Baseball Prospectus’ editor-in-chief, Sam Miller, will be curating an entertaining game called Beat PECOTA. If the idea doesn’t already appear self evident, allow me to explain. For the completely uninitiated, PECOTA is the projection system employed by Baseball Prospectus. PECOTA forecasts many things about a player’s future performance, including BP’s in-house stats: True […]