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	<title>Toronto &#187; Richard Urena</title>
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		<title>Blue Jays 2017 Farm System in Review: The Hitters</title>
		<link>http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/09/18/blue-jays-2017-farm-system-in-review-the-hitters/</link>
		<comments>http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/09/18/blue-jays-2017-farm-system-in-review-the-hitters/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Sep 2017 10:59:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tammy Rainey]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anthony Alford]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bo Bichette]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cavan Biggio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Danny Jansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hagen Danner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Logan Warmoth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reese McGuire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Urena]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Riley Adams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rowdy Tellez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teoscar Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vlad Guerrero Jr.]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Vancouver Canadians are champions of the Northwest League. The Dunedin Blue Jays are co-champions of the Florida State League. The Bluefield Blue Jays and the DSL Blue Jays made post-season appearances. While there were some setbacks, on the whole, the system was replete with success stories. Let&#8217;s review. The Canadians made post-season magic on [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Vancouver Canadians are champions of the Northwest League.<br />
The Dunedin Blue Jays are co-champions of the Florida State League.<br />
The Bluefield Blue Jays and the DSL Blue Jays made post-season appearances.</p>
<p>While there were some setbacks, on the whole, the system was replete with success stories. Let&#8217;s review.</p>
<p>The Canadians made post-season magic on the strength of shutdown pitching while the tired offense struggled. They went 5-1 in the post-season, winning four of those five by a score of 2-1. &#8220;Big&#8221; Nate Pearson racked up 14 strikeouts in eight innings pitched over two starts, allowing a single run; The piggyback combination of Zach Logue and Justin Dillon (who regularly pitched together this season) combined for 13 innings pitched giving up only two earned runs while striking out 21 in the two games in which they appeared. More impressive yet, the Canadians&#8217; bullpen combined for 25 innings pitched, while giving up one earned run, striking out 31, and walking only five.</p>
<p>The D-Jays had to settle for co-champion status after Hurricane Irma forced the FSL to cancel their championship series. After losing game one, they played a double header against the Tampa Yankees and won both ends behind dominant pitching from T.J. Zeuch and Jordan Romano.</p>
<p>Now, with team news out of the way, I&#8217;ll turn my attention to individual performances. In part one I&#8217;ll review the hitters, by position, and in part two we&#8217;ll take a look at the pitching.</p>
<h3>Catchers</h3>
<p>This is arguably the most well stocked position in this section which is, frankly, a weird thing to be saying about the Blue Jays.  I reviewed this position at some length <a href="http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/08/28/blue-jays-minor-league-report-a-cornucopia-of-catchers/">a few weeks back.</a> To that analysis I will only take the time to add this bit of information I discovered about <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=596069#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Max Pentecost</strong></a>.</p>
<p>If this guy had not had shoulder issues, he might well have already suited up in Toronto. Every quote I&#8217;ve seen from Jays staff is a rave review. He got a gentle re-introduction to catching this season and in light of a recently published comment in which he described finding it harder to stay focused when he wasn&#8217;t behind the plate, I decided to take a deeper look at this season. For starters, they never had him catch back-to-back games, and he only played 72 games in all due to injuries (apparently unrelated to the shoulder, but injury info on prospects is very difficult to access) including missing the last 3+ weeks of the season. What I found was that the results, albeit in a small sample, support his observation. He played 20 games behind the plate, 22 at first and was the DH 30 times. Here&#8217;s his respective slash lines at each position:</p>
<p>In 81 AB as a catcher: .358/.381/.654/1.035<br />
In 86 AB at first base: .196/.250/.337/.587<br />
In 121 AB as a DH: .273/.348/.422/.780<br />
Overall in 288 AB: .274/.330/.431/.761</p>
<p>This is probably just noise, but maybe it means something? We&#8217;ll have to see.</p>
<p>My prediction is that <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=643376#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Danny Jansen</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=624512#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Reese McGuire</strong></a> will begin 2018 sharing time in Buffalo with a high likelihood that one or both will see time in Toronto. Pentecost will slot in at AA and I expect<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=656180#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong> Riley Adams</strong></a> to leapfrog to Dunedin while the <strong><a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=670394#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL">Ryan Gold</a>/<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=660857#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL">Yorman Rodriguez</a></strong> duo will break camp with Lansing. Although due to some crowding at that level the latter might stay back and go to Vancouver. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=668470#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Hagen Danner</strong></a>, this year&#8217;s second round choice, could slot into either Vancouver or Bluefield depending on how everyone looks in the spring.</p>
<h3>First Base</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=642133#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Rowdy Tellez</strong></a> was the one &#8220;buzz&#8221; guy at this position coming into the season and he had the first rough year of his career. Early on he was likely affected by some difficult family issues, but even when his average finally recovered in August the power stroke was nowhere to be found. Thankfully Justin Smoak&#8217;s emergence took the urgency away on Rowdy&#8217;s development. He&#8217;ll no doubt repeat AAA next year.  <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=622806#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Juan Kelly</strong></a> in Dunedin was good-but-not-great in a pitcher&#8217;s league, but also brings positional versatility being able to also play 3B and even catch in a pinch (he was signed as a catcher).  2017 8th round choice <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=641459#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Kacey Clemens</strong></a> was a mainstay for the VanCs and 15th rounder <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=676116#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Ryan Noda</strong></a> was the Appy League Player of the year and a monster for Bluefield (1.082 OPS). Whomever has a better spring will have the chance to jump to Dunedin next year with the other off to Lansing.</p>
<h3>Second Base</h3>
<p>When one lays aside upcoming minor league free agents, the most advanced 2B in the systems is Tim Lopes. While he came up big for NH often, however, a .729 OPS isn&#8217;t going to get him added to any prospect lists. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=624415#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Cavan Biggio</strong></a> is a member of the Jays Second Generation Club, but he also totaled a .705 OPS for Dunedin in his age 22 season—that&#8217;s not going to cut it. That brings us to <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=669392#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Samad Taylor</strong></a>. He was the second player that the Jays picked up from Cleveland in the Joe Smith deal. After a brief stop in Bluefield, he hit .333 for the balance of August with a hit in every one of those August games save one. Over that stretch his OPS was .848 and he&#8217;ll be someone to watch in Lansing next spring.</p>
<h3>Shortstop</h3>
<p>By now you probably know that spring crush <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=621037#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Jason Leblebijian</strong></a> went off a cliff in early June and crushed the illusion that he might have a major league role. He&#8217;ll be back in Buffalo as a utility man playing mostly 3B next year. More exciting for Bisons fans is the likely advent of <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=620446#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Richard Urena</strong></a>. As recently as the first of this month I was convinced that he&#8217;d go back to AA to begin 2018 as his production their this year did not scream, &#8220;promote me.&#8221; However if he can carry over the gains of his September major league hot streak to next spring, that might earn him the bump. It&#8217;s said that the Jays will want to see him get more work in at 2B next spring in anticipation of middle infield injuries, and that positional flexibility is also something they want in <strong><a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=666971#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL">Lourdes Gurriel Jr.</a> </strong></p>
<p>Gurriel himself did not impress offensively either this year (both he and Urena had an OPS of .286 with LGJ slugging slightly higher) there are quite a few caveats. He missed much of the first half with hamstring injuries and when he did return it was after over two years out of organized competitive baseball games. There&#8217;s a reasonable chance that he has a better spring and, given that he&#8217;s 24 (over two years older than Urena) he&#8217;ll get the AAA assignment. There&#8217;s an argument to be made for separating them, so as not to crowd the SS playing time, but if the Jays want both to be highly flexible in the infield then it is also perfectly reasonable for them to pair the two in the middle of Buffalo&#8217;s infield, occasionally rotating back and forth.</p>
<p>Doing so opens up New Hampshire&#8217;s job for <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=666182#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Bo Bichette</strong></a>. Given that Bichette only got into 40 games for Dunedin, the cautious approach would be to at least let him (and a certain other individual) open the year back there and avoid the spring cold that one must deal with in New Hampshire. But that would certainly be a temporary situation unless he completely fell apart. Whether he plays 140 games in AA or 100, the job is effectively his given he was the most productive hitter (on a full season team) in the Blue Jays system in 2017.</p>
<p>The job Bo leaves behind in Dunedin would likely go to some combination of young Venezuelan shortstops <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=650988#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Yeltsin Gudino</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=660631#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Kevin Vicuna</strong></a>. Both are, to this point, relatively light hitting glove men whom the organization likes, but they&#8217;re not really on anybody&#8217;s top 30 list. With that said, Gudino was considered the No. 8 international signing prospect in 2013 and Vicuna was No. 30 the following year, so there might be some unrealized upside with them . At some point, though, they would likely take a back seat to one of the Blue Jays&#8217; 2017 first round picks: <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=657089#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Logan Warmoth</strong></a>.</p>
<p>In truth, it&#8217;s not impossible to imagine a scenario where Warmoth leapfrogs the two aforementioned shortstops and goes straight to Dunedin. But given the Blue Jays&#8217; handling of the previous year&#8217;s draft picks as well as the inherent luxury of having impressive depth above him, the 2017 top pick most likely breaks with Lansing. Warmoth did everything the team could have hoped this year in Vancouver, even while the rest of the hitters wore down towards the end of what was, particularly for college hitters, a really long season. Fellow 2017 draftee <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=675656#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Kevin Smith</strong></a> deserves a mention here as well, likely taking his assignment one level behind Warmoth wherever that ends up being.</p>
<h3>Third Base</h3>
<p>I know what you&#8217;re thinking, but let me take these in order from the top of the system down&#8230;even though that won&#8217;t take long. Jason Leblijian will just be a placeholder—at best—in Buffalo. Matt Dean will be a minor league free agent who&#8217;ll be very lucky to get an offer. Mitch Nay is still around, after much trouble with injury, but also hasn&#8217;t proven he can hit. So let&#8217;s just move on to discussing <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=665489#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Vlad Guerrero Jr</strong>.</a></p>
<p>Vlad, whom more and more folks are putting in discussions about the best prospect in the game, is obviously in the same position as Bo. The team could easily justify conservatively leaving him in Dunedin to begin the year in the sunshine until early May, but given that he has yet to experience serious adversity it might be considered advantageous to his development to let him break camp in AA. Whatever the schedule, that&#8217;s likely where he&#8217;ll play most of his games come year&#8217;s end. It&#8217;s also worth noting that how they choose to develop him will be at least somewhat affected by whether they extend Josh Donaldson this winter (or at least the nature of the conversations with his representatives about doing so).</p>
<p>If/when Guerrero settles in at AA, look for <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=641735#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Bradley Jones</strong></a> to get most of the reps at 3B in Dunedin. While he&#8217;s capable of playing 2B and 1B (and presumably would be a decent enough outfielder) third is where the depth chart is thinnest and so logically he&#8217;d get his best chance here. Jones was so impressive in Lansing that he was their first hitter promoted to Dunedin, but injuries limited him to 17 games and likely underlaid the 0 for 26 stretch that preceded his trip to the DL. The FSL hasn&#8217;t seen the real Jones yet. Below that level it gets dicey. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=650991#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Bryan Lizardo</strong></a> was unproductive at Vancouver, <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=660709#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Sterling Guzman</strong></a> hit well in Bluefield before a season ending injury. The second highest paid signing by the Blue Jays in this July 2 period was a 3B, Miguel Hiraldo, but he was described in rosey terms for his hitting, little mention was made of his defense, and he a very long way off.</p>
<h3>Outfield</h3>
<p>The top of the list in terms of advancement among outfield prospects is <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=606192#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Teoscar Hernandez</strong></a>. In fact, he&#8217;s graduated from officially being considered a prospect (joining <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=592647#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Dalton Pompey</strong></a> in &#8220;prospect but not officially&#8221; status). Barring the real possibility that the Blue Jays bring in someone from outside the organization this winter, I&#8217;d say confidence is high Hernandez has first shot at becoming the Opening Day right fielder in the Spring. Pompey, sadly, did not even get to play enough this year to burn an option, so in the unlikely event he doesn&#8217;t get hurt next spring, the Blue Jays can option him to Buffalo and see if he can consolidate his abilities without breaking again.</p>
<p>Joining him in that outfield will presumably be <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=546990#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Anthony Alford</strong></a> and <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=596105#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Dwight Smith Jr</strong></a>. Smith spent 2017 with Buffalo and was mostly okay, but nothing about him suggests anything more than a fourth outfielder ceiling and guy who&#8217;ll probably bounce around the way Zeke Carerra was doing when he came to town. Alford, on the other hand, will surely be the team&#8217;s consensus No. 3 prospect this winter and rightly so. Most observers still think there&#8217;s some unrealized over-the-fence power left in his game, but otherwise he&#8217;s a practically perfect prospect both on and off the field. One reason the team might gamble with a Pearce/Carrera/Pillar/Hernandez outfield is the knowledge that Alford is so close. Alternately (and this is how I&#8217;d play it) they could aggressively shop Pillar and plug Alford into CF, but my guess is this organization is too conservative to break camp with rookies in two-thirds of the starting outfield slots.</p>
<p>Another outfielder who you&#8217;ll potential find in Buffalo in 2018, if he&#8217;s not taken in the Rule 5 Draft, is speedy <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=605231#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Roemon Fields</strong></a>. He has no power at all, but his OBP was .355 and he stole 43 bases while playing praiseworthy defense, which quite a few teams would tolerate off their bench. Behind this grouping is <strong><a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=623912#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL">Harold Ramirez</a></strong>. At his best in 2015 he was a high OBP guy with a little pop and good speed, but in two seasons AA has exposed him and he&#8217;s at this point looking like a marginal guy who&#8217;s not even as good as Smith.</p>
<p>The next guy you want to get excited about is Toronto native and future fan favorite <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=664768#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Connor Panas</strong></a>. Panas led the FSL in homers, and finished second in SLG and OPS. He&#8217;ll plug right into AA as the everyday RF and will again be overshadowed by the Bo and Vladdy show. While he&#8217;s not on their level (he&#8217;ll be 25 next year), he&#8217;s got enough going on to deserve some notice. Then there&#8217;s <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=658668#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Edward Olivares</strong></a>, the other guy who spent 2017 in the shadow of the Show. He was fifth in the Midwest League in OPS, third in slugging. When the 21 year old Venezuelan was promoted to Dunedin on August 13 it took him a few games to find his stroke and he didn&#8217;t manage even one homer at the higher level, but that should not dampen your enthusiasm. He&#8217;ll return to the FSL next spring.</p>
<p>Another interesting guy was Lansing&#8217;s <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=641943#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Joshua Palacios</strong></a>. The 2016 4th rounder was horrendous to begin the season and did not recover before going on the DL on June 5 with a .541 OPS. Just over two weeks later he came off a changed man. From there on out he hit .38 with an .824 OPS which has me projecting him to be Dunedin&#8217;s opening day CF next spring. The other 2017 draft choice on the Lansing roster was second rounder <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=642223#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>J.B. Woodman</strong></a>. You can&#8217;t entirely dismiss him but 157 strikeouts in 96 games (and only seven homers) won&#8217;t play.</p>
<p>On the short season teams the most well regarded prospect has to be <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=663545#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Reggie Pruitt</strong></a>. He&#8217;s still exceedingly raw, but after ending June hitting a sub-optimal .102, he posted a .257 BA with a .650 OPS over the second half, while playing big defense and stealing 28 bases in 36 tries. He&#8217;s still years away from refining them, but the tools are there. A couple of other guys in Vancouver hit marginally better, but they seem to have considerably lower ceilings. Another guy I&#8217;ve been watching is <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=650996#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Freddy Rodriguez</strong></a>. He was No. 18 in that aforementioned 2013 class and his first two pro seasons were unimpressive, then he was limited by injury to only seven games in 2016. He also missed the first month of the short season this year but when he got to play he showed an improved game. It was only 28 games total, but his OPS was .861 and he&#8217;s still only 20. I&#8217;d speculate he has the chance to open with Lansing but the Jays may opt for caution and assign him to Vancouver. Finally, I&#8217;d be remiss if I did not mention <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=668474#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>Dominic Abbadassa</strong></a> (23rd rd, 2016) who hit .340 in the GCL with an .811 OPS, and 2017 draftee <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=668470#/career/R/hitting/2017/ALL"><strong>DJ Neal</strong></a> (26th)  who overcame a 2 for 27 midseason slump and hit .346 in all other games with an .812 OPS. Both will get a chance to prove their mettle in Vancouver next year.</p>
<p>Other names you may see mentioned among OF include Jon Davis, Andrew Guillote, and Brock Luundquist.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s 40 names in bold, dig in because there&#8217;s a boatload of pitchers to talk about ext time.</p>
<p><em>Lead Photo: Steve Mitchell —USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Minor League Update: August 6th Edition</title>
		<link>http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/08/06/minor-league-update-august-6th-edition/</link>
		<comments>http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/08/06/minor-league-update-august-6th-edition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Aug 2016 18:39:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tammy Rainey]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minor League Update]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Urena]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toronto.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=5209</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Obviously the biggest news this week was the fallout from the non-waiver trade deadline deals. A couple of talented but raw Latin players in rookie ball got dealt &#8211; Hansel Rodriguez and Guadolupe Chavez guys who by any reasonable projection were five or more years away even if they pan out, and rather surprisingly two [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obviously the biggest news this week was the fallout from the non-waiver trade deadline deals. A couple of talented but raw Latin players in rookie ball got dealt &#8211; Hansel Rodriguez and Guadolupe Chavez guys who by any reasonable projection were five or more years away even if they pan out, and rather surprisingly two of the Top 10 prospects in the Pittsburgh Pirates organization were obtained: 2013 first round pick Reese McGuire (C) and Columbian bonus baby outfielder Harold Ramirez. <a href="http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2016/#list=tor">MLB.com</a> slotted them right into rankings at #4 and #5 respectively, but I&#8217;d suggest that&#8217;s pretty aggressive, particularly on Ramirez. On my amateur list, McGuire is grudgingly at #5 (I still think there&#8217;s a good chance Pentecost will ultimately be a better all around bet, but McGuire is safer because of his defense) and Ramirez is #10 though I could easily have put him a couple of spots lower as well. I&#8217;m reasonably high on McGuire in that coaches still think that there&#8217;s a hit tool there to work with, but I wonder if Ramirez isn&#8217;t more a complementary guy more than a first division starter. Both players were assigned to AA where the F&#8217;Cats are now a fairly loaded squad with not only those two imports, but also the promotion of MLB&#8217;s #1 prospect, SS Richard Urena up from Dunedin.&nbsp; The New Hampshire team now boasts five of the top 10 prospects on the above mentioned list, and eight of the top 30.</p>
<p>To change the subject, as August arrives, it&#8217;s fair to speculate about the extent to which playoff possibilities for various teams might affect player promotion decisions, since teams typically like to give their best prospects playoff experience. In the upper minors it&#8217;s a non-factor. Neither Buffalo or the newly reinforced Fisher Cats in AA are anywhere close to a playoff race.&nbsp; However, in Dunedin the D-Jays are a half game out of first place in a very tight four team race for the 2nd half title.</p>
<p>Meanwhile in Lansing, the sub-.500 (in the second half) Lugnuts actually hold a playoff spot at the moment due to a relatively complex circumstance. But three other teams are within 2.5 games of their shaky grip. The VanCans still have 29 of 37 second half games to play and literally everyone is a playoff contender at this point. Similarly, with 27 games left in their season, Bluefield is 1 game out of a playoff spot. The GCL Jays are 4 games up, with 23 to play, and feature a ridiculous .806 winning percentage. I would not expect to see a lot of prominent moves as long as all five teams have a shot, except where a string of reciprocal moves makes sense, but that might change in a couple of weeks as the picture clears.</p>
<h3><strong>Pitchers of the Week</strong></h3>
<p>1. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t424&amp;player_id=656887#/gamelogs/R/pitching/2016/MINORS">Sean Reid-Foley</a> (20) &#8211; RHP &#8211; Dunedin (A Advanced)</p>
<p>Week: 1 GS , 6.2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 4 BB, 9 K<br />
YTD: 20 G ,113.1 IP, 71 H, 31 ER, 37 BB, 127 K 2.46 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, 2.9 BB/9</p>
<p>Like last week, it was kind of a slow week for outstanding pitching in the system this week. With Hutch now out of the system, there&#8217;s really no starter of interest in Buffalo, Vancouver was on their all star break for much of the previous week, and only three starters in the system had 2 starts this week. So we may as well direct our attention first to the newly recognized #1 pitching prospect in the system (per MLB.com) and see how he did. Turns out, he had a fine game. Admittedly he walked 4, which is the first time he&#8217;s reached that level in Dunedin, but 1 hit over against 9 strikeouts is nothing to sneeze at. His ERA there (in only 2.2 fewer IP) is now a full run lower than it was in Lansing with fewer hits, fewer walks and more strikeouts. Part of this is no doubt park factor but still.</p>
<p>2.<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=660546#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL"> Yennsy Diaz</a> (19) &#8211; RHP &#8211; Bluefield (Rookie)</p>
<p>Week: 1 GS , 6 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K<br />
YTD: 7 G, 34.2 IP, 35 H, 18 ER, 11 BB, 32 K, 4.67 ERA, 1.33 WHIP,&nbsp; 8.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9</p>
<p>It&#8217;s pronounced &#8220;Jensy&#8221; in case you were wondering. This is the first appearance in this space for one of the two Diaz&#8217;s on the Bluefield staff. He&#8217;s the more talented of the 2, being ranked #29 in the system on both MLB.com and Baseball America&#8217;s off-season list, and #15 by Fangraphs. He was up to #21 on MLB&#8217;s mid-season rankings. Like the recently traded Hansel Rodriguez (and in many respects the also dealt Lupe Chavez) Diaz is a big-armed-but-raw Latin pitcher with room to grow and develop. At 6&#8217;1&#8243;, he&#8217;s listed at a mere 160 and teams typically think that adding muscle to such a narrow from tends to lead to a velocity spike.&nbsp; Take out his worst appearance and you shave almost an entire run off his ERA, and while there&#8217;s obvious inconsistency such as is common at this level, there&#8217;s something to watch here too.</p>
<p>3. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t424&amp;player_id=622247#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Jon Harris</a> (22) &#8211; RHP &#8211; Dunedin</p>
<p>Week: 1 GS , 7.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K<br />
YTD: 18 GS, 97.1 IP, 88 H, 27 ER, 30 BB, 80 K, 2.50 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, 2.8 BB/9</p>
<p>Harris fared better in his second start for Dunedin this week after having a rough outing (against the same team) in his first start at the level. Twice in 2016 Harris has given up 3 runs, twice he&#8217;s given up more than that &#8211; fourteen times he&#8217;s given up fewer. I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;s going to be exposed by the Florida State League.</p>
<h3><strong>Hitters of the Week</strong></h3>
<p>1. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t463&amp;player_id=620446#/gamelogs/R/hitting/2016/MINORS">Richard Urena</a> (20) &#8211; SS &#8211; New Hampshire (AA)</p>
<p>Week: 12/26, 0 2B, 1 3B, 0 HR, 0 SB, 2 BB, 2 K, .452 AVG, .500 OBP, .538 SLG<br />
Season: 125/404, 18 2B, 8 3B, 8 HR, 9 SB, 25 BB, 65 K .312 AVG, .376 OBP, .470 SLG</p>
<p>My top 2 guys this week were both deserving terms of statistical production, but I&#8217;ll give MLB.com&#8217;s #1 ranked Jays prospect the nod in recognition of his promotion this week. He was promoted Tuesday and got into two games for the Fisher Cats and his hot stretch never slowed. His first AA hit was, in fact, a triple. He&#8217;s been on base in all but 2 games since Canada Day, and he&#8217;s on a streak of 4 multi-hit games.</p>
<p>2. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t424&amp;player_id=546990#/gamelogs/R/hitting/2016/MINORS">Anthony Alford</a> (22) &#8211; CF &#8211; Dunedin</p>
<p>Week: 10/25, 4 2B, 0 3B, 1 HR, 1 SB, 4 BB, 5 K, .400 AVG, .483 OBP, .680 SLG<br />
YTD: 59/254, 15 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 13 SB, 37 BB, 86 K, .232 AVG, .336 OBP, .366 SLG</p>
<p>Given my effusive praise for Alford last week, I gave Urena his due but AA had another monster week this week. Let&#8217;s update that &#8220;since July 10&#8243; AEP slash line: .342/.458/.608 in a not-insignificant 22 games.&nbsp; If you want a longer view, you can go back to before the concussion when he got his stroke back after the knee injury and his OPS is .782 (since May 16) which is not terribly far off of his breakout year last season. And remember, he just played his 200th minor league game this past week. For comparison, newly acquired Harold Ramirez had 337 games when the Blue Jays picked him up.</p>
<p>3. Joshua Palacios (21) &#8211; CF &#8211; Vancouver (Rookie Advanced)</p>
<p>Week: 8/15, 2 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 1 SB, 4 BB, 2 K, .533 AVG, .632 OBP, .666 SLG<br />
YTD: 26/89, 7 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 6 SB, 14 BB, 14 K, .292 AVG, .394 OBP, .371 SLG</p>
<p>This is the 5th 2016 draftee to show up in this space in 2016, the CF was the Blue Jays 4th round selection in June was originally assigned to the GCL for the first 13 games of his pro career before being promoted to Vancouver.&nbsp; His OPS in the Gulf Coast League was only .647 but since being promoted he&#8217;s hitting .896 (albeit in a tiny sample). Still 11 walks in 11 games is worth a tip of the cap.</p>
<h3><strong>Other Minor Notes</strong></h3>
<p>I don&#8217;t customarily spend a lot of time on negative highlights in this column but the rough stretch Angel Perdomo has been on gives me a moment to briefly mention again one of the limits of &#8220;stat scouting.&#8221; Up until three weeks ago Perdomo had allowed more than 2 earned runs in a game only one time. Since then it&#8217;s been 3/4/2/4 and walked four twice in those four games which was also a first for the season.&nbsp; One possible reason for this? It&#8217;s his first full-season year. His career high in games coming into this year was 14, as of this writing he&#8217;s up to 21. Another reason might be organizational priorities. Jesse Goldberg-Strassler notes that all the priority pitcher prospects have a mandate to throw a certain percentage of whatever secondary pitches they are working on, and it stands to reason that those might change over the course of a season. If a pitcher isn&#8217;t as effective with, say, a change-up but he&#8217;s under orders to work on it then obviously that impacts the stats. So take some results with a grain of salt.<br />
In other items of note, Bo Bichette remains on the DL&nbsp; recovering from an emergency appendectomy. Max Pentecost injured his (non-surgically repaired) left shoulder in a home plat collision this week which sends him to the DL for what is expected to be a short stay, meanwhile Lansing CF prospect Lane Thomas who&#8217;s been on the DL since early June has been activated from his rehab assignment in the GCL.&nbsp; Also rehabbing in the GCL is New Hampshire 2B Jon Berti who&#8217;s been out with concussion symptoms and corner infielder Matt Dean, also from New Hampshire. Dean missed all of July but he wasn&#8217;t hitting well before that and is seemingly slipping off the prospect radar.</p>
<p>Finally, a little heralded promotion to note in the wake of m&#8217;boy Danny Barnes finally getting his promotion is a guy with similar ratios. <a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=621394#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Colton Turner</a> is admittedly 25 which made him old for the leagues that he has pitched in this year but, like Barnes, he lost a season to injury. He seems to have come back stronger though, as he&#8217;s sitting on a 0.81 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, and 12.7 K/9 &#8211; might be a name you hear more of in a year or so.&nbsp; Especially given that he&#8217;s a lefty.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s your weekly links . . .</p>
<h3>Other Stat Lines of Interest</h3>
<p><strong>HITTERS</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t422&amp;player_id=592647#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Dalton Pompey</a> &#8211; CF &#8211; 2nd consecutive poor week.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t463&amp;player_id=642133#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Rowdy Tellez </a>- 1B &#8211; seems to have picked up right where he left off.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=621037#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Jason Leblebijian</a> &#8211; IF &#8211; productive, not spectacular, on the week.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t463&amp;player_id=624512#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Reese McGuire</a> &#8211; C &#8211; Good start as Jays like to develop his hitting.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t463&amp;player_id=642133#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Harold Ramirez </a>- OF &#8211; not a week where it&#8217;s good to draw any impressions.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t499&amp;player_id=596069#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Max Pentecost</a> &#8211; C/DH &#8211; triple in three consecutive games<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t424&amp;player_id=642590#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Juan Kelly </a>- 1B &#8211; Was recognized this week as best defensive 1B in the league.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t435&amp;player_id=642223#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">JB Woodman</a> &#8211; CF &#8211; cooled a bit<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t435&amp;player_id=624415#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Cavan Biggio</a> &#8211; 2B &#8211; back from the league All Star game<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t517&amp;player_id=665489#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL">Vlad Guerrero, Jr</a> &#8211; 3B &#8211; stole 4 bases in last 2 games<br />
<strong>PITCHERS</strong><br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t463&amp;player_id=641632#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Conner Greene</a> &#8211; RHP &#8211; Took a step back.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t424&amp;player_id=642590#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Francisco Rios</a> &#8211; RHP &#8211; rebounded somewhat from previous disaster start.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t499&amp;player_id=622780#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Ange Perdomo</a>&nbsp; &#8211; LHP &#8211; second bad start in last 3 outings<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t499&amp;player_id=621366#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Ryan Borucki </a>- LHP &#8211; seven innings, only one run<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t499&amp;player_id=605447#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Jordan Romano</a> &#8211; RHP &#8211; had his worst start, possible fatigue setting in?<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t499&amp;player_id=663359#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Justin Maese</a> RHP &#8211; mixed results.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t435&amp;player_id=643615#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">TJ Zuech </a>- RHP &#8211; moved up to 4 IP, after having been limited by the team to three.<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t435&amp;player_id=641907#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Patrick Murphy</a> &#8211; RHP &#8211; mixed results<br />
<a href="http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=milb&amp;player_id=631219#/career/R/pitching/2016/ALL">Wilfri Alerton</a> &#8211; LHP &#8211; Another 5.2 shutout innings.</p>
<p><em>Lead Photo:&nbsp;Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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